Voter Turnout

I don’t pretend to be a psychic, as a matter of fact, I don’t really believe in psychics. I don’t believe that you go to bed and have a dream that something happens and then it happens. I do not believe that a person can tell where a dead body is buried just by looking at a person’s belongings. I do, however, believe that a person can get a sense of the future by paying attention to the events of today and even the past.
I have been saying for several months that Democrats have a good chance of winning in 2014. I made several status posts about it and in July, 2013 I wrote a blog detailing our chances. The name of the blog was, “Republicans Have a Surprise Coming.” Below is an excerpt from that blog:
“They (Republicans) have tried to pass restrictive voter ID laws, they shortened voting hours, they tried passing laws so that college kids couldn’t vote in the areas where they went to college, They sent out flyers and tried to tell people the wrong election day, and what happened? They pissed people off. People turned out to vote. They stood in line for up to eight hours for that privilege and few turned away. “
In 2014 they will try all the same stunts. The Supreme Court has cleared the way for restrictive voter ID laws and several states have already adopted them. This time we have time to help people make sure they have proper ID. We have boots on the ground ready to go, we have people on the phones and we have social media and all will be working together. Even seniors are beginning to get pissed. We will be vigilant and we will be ready. We must stick together.”
On occasion somebody will write an article or blog post that seems to bear out my prediction. The most recent one is an article in the Huffington Post titled “Can Democrats win in 2014?” This article was written by Robert Creamer and was dated 4/15/2014.
In his article Mr. Creamer states that most pundits and people who predict, or attempt to predict, the outcome of the 2014 elections rely heavily on past elections. These pundits believe that since voter turnout has been historically low in midterm elections it will be low in 2014 also. The pundits fail to take into account what is happening today. The article points out that in the 2013 Virginia elections, Democrat turnout was high and Democrats took back control of the state, although by a very close margin. Sure we lost in a recent Florida special election, but that is a heavily Republican part of the state and the Democrat lost by a mere 2 percentage points.
Although I didn’t blog about the higher turnout in Virginia I did post a status to that effect.
The point that I am trying to make is that people should pay no attention to the pundits and very little attention to today’s polls. It is too early for the polls to really predict anything. A lot will change between now and Election Day.
Mr. Creamer is right. I say,”forget about voter turnout in past midterm elections, concentrate on voter turnout in November, 2014. We outnumber them. If we get the vote out we will win and begin to take back our democracy.”